Wind Astra ClericTier 1
at AGORA HOBBY REGIONAL
decks
20
(9.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
125
59-46-20
overall winrate
55.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.3%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
49.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1324
· median 1283
· range 1122–1685
(20 pilots with an ELO rating)
915
Q1 1182
Q3 1368
1685
40% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 26.8% | 32 | 9-17-6 | 37.5% | 38.9% | 36.0% | -5.1 |
| Water Genbu | 10.8% | 11 | 3-7-1 | 31.8% | 36.7% | 34.1% | -6.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.0% | 12 | 8-2-2 | 75.0% | 68.8% | 57.9% | +3.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.0% | 11 | 5-4-2 | 54.5% | 53.3% | 56.7% | +2.9 |
| Wind Allies | 6.6% | 14 | 8-5-1 | 60.7% | 58.3% | 51.6% | +0.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.6% | 14 | 6-5-3 | 53.6% | 52.8% | 43.2% | -2.8 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.8% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 60.8% | +5.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 56.6% | +4.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 60.7% | +6.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.0% | +12.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.8% | +13.2 |
| Fire Exia | 1.4% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 61.2% | +8.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.8% | +25.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.3% | -6.4 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.6 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.5% | 3 | 1-0-2 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.0% | +2.3 |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
| Wind Overlord | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 20 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 5 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 5 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Potion of Healing, Blanche, Sheltering Saint, Nullifying Mirror. Losers more often ran: Backup Charger, Nascent Barrier, Dawn's Reversal.
Potion of Healing
Winning decks ran 0.6
copies on average,
losing decks 0.0.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 2.
Blanche, Sheltering Saint
Winning decks ran 2.0
copies on average,
losing decks 0.8.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Nullifying Mirror
Winning decks ran 0.6
copies on average,
losing decks 0.2.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Indolent Leisure
Winning decks ran 2.0
copies on average,
losing decks 1.2.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Tend the Land
Winning decks ran 3.4
copies on average,
losing decks 2.0.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 0.
Horticounter
Winning decks ran 3.6
copies on average,
losing decks 3.4.
Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in
2, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 2.
Backup Charger
Losing decks ran 0.8
copies on average,
winning decks 0.2.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 2.
Nascent Barrier
Losing decks ran 3.2
copies on average,
winning decks 1.4.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 2.
Dawn's Reversal
Losing decks ran 1.6
copies on average,
winning decks 0.4.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 2.
Mnemonic Charm
Losing decks ran 3.0
copies on average,
winning decks 1.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Astral Seal
Losing decks ran 2.8
copies on average,
winning decks 2.6.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
2, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 2.
Spellshield: Astra
Losing decks ran 2.2
copies on average,
winning decks 1.8.
Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in
2, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 2.
Show all 32 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backup Charger | -0.60 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Potion of Healing | +0.60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nascent Barrier | -0.60 | 0 | 3 | 2 | |
| Dawn's Reversal | -0.60 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Mnemonic Charm | -0.40 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.40 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Gentle Respite | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.40 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Indolent Leisure | +0.40 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prima Materia | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Astral Seal | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Spellshield: Astra | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Tend the Land | +0.20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fertile Grounds | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Spirit of Serene Wind | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Horticounter | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Lunar Seer | -0.20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Wind | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Stars | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ravaging Tempest | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Meteor Strike | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Regenerate | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 |